Archive for October, 2010

  • NBA Sports Betting Model
    Sportpunter are about to release predictions for NBA with a brand new sports model. NBA is one of the most bet sports in the world and with many games being played every day, the possibility of high turnover is great. Bookies will generally offer lines of 1.95 and better and liquidity isn’t regularly a major problem. We have analysed the last 4 years of data using hold...
    by at October 26th, 2010 at 01:10 pm
  • NBL Unders – always underrated, now almost sure things
    NBL has started for the season 2010/2011 and we have seen amazing results with the Sportpunter model. We’ve hit 7 from 8 winners, for a massive start to the season including big head to head wins at 3.12 and 2.51. But it isn’t the massive head to head wins that have a lot of people talking, but rather the totals. Every game has been low scoring. In fact, all 5 games...
    by at October 18th, 2010 at 11:10 am
  • Sportpunter NFL is here!
    Sportpunter are releasing their NFL model this weekend, and results have been particularly pleasing. Despite a late start to the season for release of the NFL model, results have been good for the start of the year. Whilst only betting on totals so far this year, we have managed around 5% ROI. But that of course is not all. We have tested betting on the handicap as well...
    by at October 15th, 2010 at 01:10 pm
  • Post US Open Blues for Rafael Nadal
    Nadal’s form hasn’t been the greatest since the US Open. That sentence in itself is very debatable. I mean, after all, he won the AIG Open Tennis Championships in Japan and has a 8-2 win loss record. He did however lose both matched to 10-1 outsiders Melzer and Garcia-Lopez, and fended off several match points against, against Troicki in the semi finals in Japan. Only...
    by at October 15th, 2010 at 09:10 am
  • Australian Basketball – NBL – Season set to start
    The Australian basketball season for 2010/2011  is set to start, and what better way to get on board the winning bandwagon. It doesn’t really matter if you follow the NBL season that close, it’s very rare that someone does, because the betting history speaks for itself. Take a look at the betting history. In the four years that we have been giving NBL predictions,...
    by at October 13th, 2010 at 01:10 pm
  • WTA Model analysis – Injuries
    Previously I showed about how the updated WTA model goes with all sorts of different probabilities, odds and overlays; all with very good results. Now I will look at all the NOBET scenarios and how the WTA model goes betting for or against a player with injuries and the like. For want of reminder, the NOBET’s are as follows: NOBET1 – Player has recorded 2 retirements...
    by at October 8th, 2010 at 10:10 am
  • Using Pre Season data to evaluate Season average scores in NHL
    NHL is fast approaching, and Sportpunter are giving predictions for the NHL season again. You can sign up by clicking here. However, a lot of people ask about preseason. How good is it and what point is there in analysing it? Does the preseason have a lot of impact on the main season? Or is there nothing much to be gained by analysing the pre season play? Well when looking...
    by at October 6th, 2010 at 04:10 pm
  • NHL season set to start
    The NHL season is set to start for season 2010/2011. The past has been very good for us, as shown by the betting history, over a span of five years we have made 7.1% ROI betting on the totals. Last year wasn’t fantastic for us however, and the model has undergone some substantial adjustments, which will hopefully sort this out. More analysis will be shown on the...
    by at October 6th, 2010 at 03:10 pm
  • Sportpunter Soccer Model: One Year On
    Sportpunter’s soccer model has been going live now for just over one year, and we thought it might be good to have a look at the results. Since the 14/9/09 which is the date that we started going live, the 12 month year resulted in 9624 bets for 3050 winners at 31.7% success rate. That’s a lot of betting, at an average of 26 bets a day. Some people might be turned...
    by at October 5th, 2010 at 02:10 pm
  • What a year! AFL Season 2010: A short review
    Finally, the AFL season has come to an end with Collingwood running away with the premiership cup. But pies fans were not the only one excited by their season. Sportpunter, it could be argued, also carried off the premiership cup with our biggest wins of any year since the model started in 1999. Head to head betting won an incredible 26.1% ROI over the year whilst line...
    by at October 4th, 2010 at 12:10 pm