Archive for September, 2009

  • Soccer season probs for premiership
    Along with out normal Soccer model, we also predict odds for the premiership as well as finishing dead last. Here are the probabilities and associated bets for the premiership after lasts round for several of the leagues Australian A Leauge Team P(Prem) Odds Overlay Gold Coast United 18.5% 4 - Brisbane Roar 16.4% 9 47.5% Melbourne Victory 16.4% 5.3 - Central...
    by at September 28th, 2009 at 06:09 am
  • NHL Season 2009/2010
    Sportpunter is once again predicting every game for the NHL season. Previous years has shown how good we have done in betting the totals for ice hockey. Over the last four years, we’ve managed a 7.3% ROI profit betting on the totals, which is really quite amazing. Last year we managed only 2.6% ROI which is down a bit on the previous year of 9.3% ROI, but hopefully...
    by at September 28th, 2009 at 04:09 am
  • AFL Qtr x Qtr
    I hate to bang on about this in the third post, but its worth mentioning I believe. Previously I posted how I believe the grand final could well be a low scoring match as well as commenting about how there might be some value in first score being a behind so maybe I’ll back that last comment with a bit more information. Since 2003 more goals have been kicked than...
    by at September 24th, 2009 at 07:09 pm
  • AFL Grand Final
    What a ripper grand final it will be. That is, apart from the thunderstorms and possible hail that is meant to disrupt it. I posted previously how, given this case, the unders might be the better bet, and indeed centrebet’s line has decreased from 170.5 down to 165.5. Maybe some of you took the advice and plundered on. However in a low scoring windy wet game there might...
    by at September 23rd, 2009 at 08:09 pm
  • Tennis Players using twitter
    Many of us would love to know how the players we are betting on are feeling on a daily basis. To get this sort of information we would need to search for news stories of injuries that were usually at best a few days old. With the advent of social media sites such as Myspace, Facebook, and now Twitter, we no longer need to rely on these other sources of information. Why...
    by at September 22nd, 2009 at 06:09 pm
  • AFL Grand Final Unders
    Centrebet are the first to give out over/under odds and I like the look of the unders here. 1.90 available for under 170.5 points. Now that might sound like a small total, but both clubs have by far the best two defences in the competition. When they played in round 14, only 176 points were scored, and yet that was played in the nice indoor conditions of the docklands. But...
    by at September 21st, 2009 at 07:09 pm
  • Brownlow Medal 2009
    Whilst sportpunter have not come up with any specific predictions for the Brownlow medal, one of our regular clients, Flosso has come up with his predictions which you can download in the forum. He’s done pretty good in past years, and this year he reckons Ablett will take out the crown. Not a very adventurous prediction, but the probability that he suggests means a...
    by at September 21st, 2009 at 01:09 am
  • Australian basketball set to start
    Australian basketball is back. And it will be extremely interesting how the season unfolds considering all the post season drama. No Sydney team, and the length of quarters reduced from 12 minutes to 10. This should have an interesting effect on totals betting. Logic tells you that the total scores of teams should reduce by 16.6%, however the pre season tournament showed...
    by at September 21st, 2009 at 01:09 am
  • Massive Soccer Wins
    Sportpunter’s soccer models have had a facelift and what great results we have seen. The betting histories for the soccer model is shown here and results are staggering. This year alone we’ve made nearly 5% ROI on over 6600 bets, betting head to heads. Similarly with totals betting  8% ROI has been made with nearly 5000 bets. Last weekend alone was amazing for punters...
    by at September 21st, 2009 at 01:09 am
  • New Sportpunter Website
    Welcome to the new sportpunter website. For those who have been around, you will know that Sportpunter has been operating online since 2002. That’s a long time, but the website was getting a little old and has now been designed to enable some good changes that we plan on undertaking. For example, the front page will from now on be more of a blog, with articles about...
    by at September 21st, 2009 at 01:09 am