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Sport Models

Sportpunter’s NRL Model Analysis

March 10th, 2010 at 02:03 pm
Previously we looked at how the big outsiders have done well in NRL since 2002. Simply betting on all teams where the odds are greater then 4.00 would have netted a profit...

Gambling Blog

Betting short favourites in women’s tennis over the last 6 years

March 3rd, 2010 at 12:03 pm
Everyone knows that there is a favourite long shot bias in most sports. And despite this, many are very afraid to bet big on small priced favourites because of fears of losing...

Recent Articles

  • 0
    Sportsbet $100 NRL Money Back
    NRL Season is set to start this weekend, and as per normal, Sportsbet are coming to the rescue with great offers. If you bet with them up to $100 on any head to head matches, then for the first bet that you place, if you team is up at half time but loses, then you get your...
    by sportpunter at March 11th, 2010 at 02:03 pm
  • 0
    Sportpunter’s NRL Model Analysis
    Previously we looked at how the big outsiders have done well in NRL since 2002. Simply betting on all teams where the odds are greater then 4.00 would have netted a profit in excess of 19% ROI. But when does this occur? On home teams or away teams? Shown below is a breakdown...
    by sportpunter at March 10th, 2010 at 02:03 pm
  • 0
    Backing the underdogs in the NRL
    The NRL season is about to start this Friday. It’s looking to be a great season with Parramatta slight bookie favourites over last years premiership team Melbourne Storm. Sportpunter’s NRL model has done exceptionally well over the years, making over 10% ROI since 2002...
    by sportpunter at March 9th, 2010 at 12:03 pm
  • 0
    Davis cup bias in home/away players
    With Davis Cup coming this weekend, I thought it was a good opportunity to find out how well the model goes. Many people would say that the Davis cup is a completely different game compared to normal tournaments, and if you have been to several countries which host it, I’m...
    by sportpunter at March 5th, 2010 at 11:03 am
  • 3
    Betting short favourites in women’s tennis over the last 6 years
    Everyone knows that there is a favourite long shot bias in most sports. And despite this, many are very afraid to bet big on small priced favourites because of fears of losing way too much money. Money fluctuations are something that a gambler has to take his emotions out...
    by sportpunter at March 3rd, 2010 at 12:03 pm
  • 0
    College Basketball Overs betting Analysis
    We previously looked a college basketball totals betting as well as focusing on unders betting. Today we will look at how well we have done suggesting bets on the overs. The data below show our betting history for overs betting. Overs Prob#Bets#Won%Won$Bet$Profit%ROI 45.0%50.0%18738.9%$986.44-$73.62-7.5% 50.0%52.5%794253.2%...
    by sportpunter at March 2nd, 2010 at 12:03 pm
  • 0
    College Basketball Unders betting Analysis
    We previously looked at College basketball totals betting and where and when it is profitable. Overall a 5.5% ROI was made, but interestingly some of the larger overlays failed to return a profit. Is this the case for over and unders betting? We will do the analysis and...
    by sportpunter at March 1st, 2010 at 03:03 pm
  • 5
    Soccer over betting minimum overlays based on League Level
    The last article I wrote about soccer was about betting the totals, more specifically the unders. We grouped the leagues into different divisions based on popularity and decided what the minimum overlay would be to bet on the unders for certain groups. In this article we...
    by sportpunter at February 23rd, 2010 at 01:02 pm
  • 2
    How to become a professional sports gambler – Part 1
    Everyone has a dream. Whether it is to be a rock star, a professional sportsperson, a star in a movie, a high profile business investor, or even a lotto winner. All of the above dreams – except for the last one – requires a lot of work and lots of patience, time...
    by sportpunter at February 19th, 2010 at 01:02 pm
  • 0
    Soccer under betting minimum overlays based on League Level
    In a previous article we looked at how the soccer model goes betting totals for different groups based on popularity. Results showed that less popular leagues were in fact more profitable than popular leagues. The results was not as extreme as head to head betting, as still...
    by sportpunter at February 18th, 2010 at 10:02 am
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