Archive for March, 2011

  • MLB 2011 season over / under win totals predictions
    The Major League Baseball season is about to start and already we have futures predictions for the number of wins that every team will have. These are available below. Our baseball model has been going great guns, last year making 3.1% ROI h2h betting and 4.6% ROI betting totals. With nearly 1600 bets for the year, there is a lot of turnover in baseball because of the...
    by at March 30th, 2011 at 12:03 pm
  • AFL Football is Back
    AFL Football is back, and this Thursday kicks off the start of the AFL season with Carlton playing Richmond. But of course, the big news is is that Sportpunter will once again be releasing top quality sports predictions for every single game. AFL is arguably Sportpunter’s best model and the results speak for themselves. As shown here, we have been predicting AFL since...
    by at March 21st, 2011 at 01:03 pm
  • NRL Model Analysis
    NRL betting has got off to a good start, thanks to Manly getting up at 3.77, here’s an analysis of the model: . . . . . Prob#Bets#Wins%Wins$Bet$Profit%ROI 00.222313.6%$867.49$332.3638.3% 0.20.31222722.1% $9,597.37 $898.429.4% 0.30.42427229.8% $26,368.45 $8,620.20 32.7% 0.40.538314738.4% $51,333.72 $9,164.64 17.9% 0.50.626110741.0%...
    by at March 21st, 2011 at 12:03 pm
  • Sportpunter NRL Model analysis – last year and last three years
    Sportpunter’s model for NRL has been going since 2003, and since that time we have managed to make over 10% ROI betting on head to head. We’ve talked a bit about the favourite long shot bias in the sport, both last year and this year, where betting at odds of 4.00 and above seem to be very profitable. But the above was largely betting blind. The NRL model hasn’t...
    by at March 9th, 2011 at 12:03 pm
  • NRL – Odds Biased towards outsiders
    The NRL season for 2011 starts this weekend and Sportpunter will be providing the predictions once again. But first, a little pre season analysis. We previously showed that there is a massive bias in odds against the outsiders, so much so that backing the large dogs in NRL proved to be very profitable over the years. So has this trend continued last year in 2010 or is...
    by at March 7th, 2011 at 12:03 pm