Archive for October, 2017

  • Sportpunter NBA. Odds Analysis Part 4
    This is the final of the four part model analysis of our NBA model. To view the other articles first, then follow these links for articles one, two and three. Many will know that when I release probabilities for NBA I release them at two different times. The first is around 6pm and the later around 9am. This is because at 6pm Australian time, bookmakers have prices up...
    by at October 12th, 2017 at 09:10 am
  • Sportpunter NBA. Odds Analysis Part 3
    Previously we looked at how our Sportpunter NBA model has gone betting throughout the season (http://www.sportpunter.com/2017/10/sportpunter-nba-odds-analysis-part-1/) as well as how it had gone when compared to finishing prices (http://www.sportpunter.com/2017/10/sportpunter-nba-odds-analysis-part-2/). But today we will look at the expected profits based on those finishing...
    by at October 10th, 2017 at 09:10 am
  • Sportpunter NBA. Odds Analysis Part 2
    We previously (http://www.sportpunter.com/2017/10/sportpunter-nba-odds-analysis-part-1/ ) looked at how the Sportpunter NBA model had done as the season progresses, but how much of that is random variation and how much is a true reflection of how powerful the model actually is? One way to analyse how good the model is is comparing our bets to the Pinnacle finishing line....
    by at October 8th, 2017 at 09:10 am
  • Sportpunter NBA. Odds Analysis Part 1
    The NBA season 2017/18 is about to start on the 17/10/17 and once again Sportpunter will be releasing predictions every day for every match. Over the seven years that we have been producing probabilities for we have made substantial profits. In total for head to head betting we have made 2.7% ROI from 4662 bets. Line or handicap betting has made slightly less at 1.5%...
    by at October 5th, 2017 at 01:10 pm