Author Archive

  • NRL Season 2015 starts this weekend
    The NRL season 2015 starts this Thursday, and if last years results are anything to go by, you should sign up. 2014, saw Sportpunter completely upgrade our model and have a player based approach. This especially helped during origin times, and most definitely increased the profits across the board. H2h betting was once again as per normal the standout, making 10.9% ROI...
    by at March 3rd, 2015 at 10:03 am
  • Pinnacle Sports sold and their future
    It appears that PinnacleSports has been sold to undisclosed buyers. Whilst rumours are going around that it is a Las Vegas firm, evidence suggests a UK or Ireland company. And this makes perfect sense. It wasn’t long ago that Pinnacle had to close its doors to all UK customers, and hence would have lost a big chunk of their turnover. Perhaps it’s only a matter of time...
    by at February 24th, 2015 at 02:02 pm
  • Rugby Union’s Super 15s 2015
    Rugby Union’s Super 15s tournament is set to start this weekend, and once again Sportpunter will be providing predictions every weekend. This will be our 13th season in a row that we are released predictions for S15, and if history repeats itself we should have a very good year indeed. Despite a small season, we have made in total 9.2% ROI from 821 bets over the span...
    by at February 10th, 2015 at 12:02 pm
  • Euro Basketball analysis: totals betting
    Previously we had a look at how European Basketball had gone betting head to head, and line betting. This article we will look at totals betting with the data shown here. Overall the model has made 4.5% betting on totals. It seems to be relatively consistent on all probabilities and odds, however a minimum 10% overlay might be preferred. There are as many overs bets as...
    by at January 17th, 2015 at 08:01 am
  • Euro Basketball analysis: line betting
    We previously analysed the h2h betting for European Basketball, and in this article we will have a look at the handicap, or line betting. As shown on this link, our line betting model has made 3.5% ROI betting overall. Though looking closely, it clearly doesn’t make a profit where the probability is less than 60% to beat the line. This indicates that smaller overlays...
    by at January 12th, 2015 at 03:01 pm
  • Euro Basketball analysis: h2h
    Sportpunter’s Euro Basketball model has been in operation for free since 2011, and we thought it’s about time that we gave you some analysis of how it has gone. This is the first of a three part article on the statistical analysis of the results. This one will be about head to head betting, whilst the next will be line and then totals betting. So let’s get started....
    by at January 8th, 2015 at 03:01 pm
  • 2015 Tennis Season and last years analysis
    The 2015 tennis season is about to start this weekend, and once again Sportpunter will be releasing their high quality predictions for every match, including qualifiers and challengers. The Sportpunter tennis model is one of our oldest and most successful spanning over 12 years. Every single year (with the exception of last year – and we will go into detail about that),...
    by at January 3rd, 2015 at 08:01 am
  • Free European sports predictions
    If you are new to Sportpunter, or even if you have subscribed for a long time, then you might not know of some of the FREE predictions that we offer. European Basketball has always been free on our website and the results so far this year have been fantastic. This is our fourth year in a row that we have had predictions for European baseketball, and we have had an incredible...
    by at December 18th, 2014 at 09:12 am
  • How to determine the optimal Kelly fraction
    As we have discussed previously, the Kelly criterion is mathematically the optimal method of money management when betting. It takes into consideration the probability, and the odds in working out what percentage of your bank one should bet. The higher the overlay (advantage that you have over the bookmaker) and the shorter the odds, the larger the bet size. Whilst the...
    by at November 10th, 2014 at 10:11 am
  • Our new player based NBA Model
    We talked previously about how Sportpunter’s NBA model excels early in the season. But today we are going to talk about Sportpunter’s new player based NBA Model. The only thing required at this stage is to estimate what the starting 5 lineup will be for each team. Given this we should see some greatly improved betting results. Keep in mind that all statistical analysis...
    by at October 23rd, 2014 at 02:10 pm