Author Archive

  • Euro Basketball analysis: totals betting
    Previously we had a look at how European Basketball had gone betting head to head, and line betting. This article we will look at totals betting with the data shown here. Overall the model has made 4.5% betting on totals. It seems to be relatively consistent on all probabilities and odds, however a minimum 10% overlay might be preferred. There are as many overs bets as...
    by at January 17th, 2015 at 08:01 am
  • Euro Basketball analysis: line betting
    We previously analysed the h2h betting for European Basketball, and in this article we will have a look at the handicap, or line betting. As shown on this link, our line betting model has made 3.5% ROI betting overall. Though looking closely, it clearly doesn’t make a profit where the probability is less than 60% to beat the line. This indicates that smaller overlays...
    by at January 12th, 2015 at 03:01 pm
  • Euro Basketball analysis: h2h
    Sportpunter’s Euro Basketball model has been in operation for free since 2011, and we thought it’s about time that we gave you some analysis of how it has gone. This is the first of a three part article on the statistical analysis of the results. This one will be about head to head betting, whilst the next will be line and then totals betting. So let’s get started....
    by at January 8th, 2015 at 03:01 pm
  • 2015 Tennis Season and last years analysis
    The 2015 tennis season is about to start this weekend, and once again Sportpunter will be releasing their high quality predictions for every match, including qualifiers and challengers. The Sportpunter tennis model is one of our oldest and most successful spanning over 12 years. Every single year (with the exception of last year – and we will go into detail about that),...
    by at January 3rd, 2015 at 08:01 am
  • Free European sports predictions
    If you are new to Sportpunter, or even if you have subscribed for a long time, then you might not know of some of the FREE predictions that we offer. European Basketball has always been free on our website and the results so far this year have been fantastic. This is our fourth year in a row that we have had predictions for European baseketball, and we have had an incredible...
    by at December 18th, 2014 at 09:12 am
  • How to determine the optimal Kelly fraction
    As we have discussed previously, the Kelly criterion is mathematically the optimal method of money management when betting. It takes into consideration the probability, and the odds in working out what percentage of your bank one should bet. The higher the overlay (advantage that you have over the bookmaker) and the shorter the odds, the larger the bet size. Whilst the...
    by at November 10th, 2014 at 10:11 am
  • Our new player based NBA Model
    We talked previously about how Sportpunter’s NBA model excels early in the season. But today we are going to talk about Sportpunter’s new player based NBA Model. The only thing required at this stage is to estimate what the starting 5 lineup will be for each team. Given this we should see some greatly improved betting results. Keep in mind that all statistical analysis...
    by at October 23rd, 2014 at 02:10 pm
  • NBA Season 2014-15, weekly past analysis
    The NBA season starts in just over a week, and once again Sportpunter will be providing predictions. Predictions will be updated on a regular basis every day between 5pm and 6pm AEDT. Our record has been extremely good as our betting history suggests here: http://www.sportpunter.com/sports/basketball/nba/ with h2h betting making 1.6% ROI, line betting making 0.9% ROI and...
    by at October 21st, 2014 at 12:10 pm
  • NBL 2014/15 analysis
    The NBL, or Australian Basketball starts this Friday, and hopefully we will achieve the same success as we have in the past. As our betting history shows, we have made 4.1% ROI betting h2h from 779 bets in 8 years. But better than h2h betting, is the line betting which has made 15.3% ROI in the 3 years that we have been recording it. Making profits of 18.1%, 12.8% and...
    by at October 9th, 2014 at 09:10 am
  • NHL Season 2014/15 set to start
    The NHL Season is about to start on Wednesday and once again Sportpunter will be providing predictions in the upcoming season 2014/15. Our predictions have done very well for totals betting in the past and you can see form our betting history that we have made 6.5 %ROI from 3406 bets in 9 seasons. Last year we recorded out best ever return on investment of 13.1% ROI from...
    by at October 6th, 2014 at 01:10 pm