Author Archive

  • College Football Model
    American Football Close up on Field with yard lines in the distanceThe College Football season has started, and once again we will be providing predictions for free. Last year was our first year and results were mixed. Whilst h2h betting and line betting lost, totals came out slightly ahead. We’ve done a quick analysis of line betting and totals and results are shown...
    by at September 3rd, 2015 at 04:09 pm
  • MLB Season set to start
    The American Baseball season (MLB) starts on Sunday the 5th of April and once again Sportpunter are providing predictions. Last year was the first year that our model went live and the results were fantastic, especially in totals betting. Shown below is our analysis of the year that has gone, with totals betting first. Some people might want to analyse only the figures...
    by at April 2nd, 2015 at 10:04 am
  • AFL Season set to start this Thursday
    The AFL season starts this Thursday and once again Sportpunter will be making predictions for it every weekend. No doubt that the AFL is our number 1 model, and the results are there to prove it. As shown on this betting history link, we have made 12.5% ROI from 1431 bets since 2005 betting on the line, and 11% ROI from the last 2258 bets betting h2h since 1999. More recently...
    by at March 30th, 2015 at 11:03 am
  • NHL records very low scoring totals in March 2015
    With NHL teams getting less and less power plays, the total number of goals has decreased dramatically this month. The average number of goals per match this month has been 5.20 which is the equal second lowest since 1989, after 5.17 was averaged in 2002 and 5.2 in 1998. We’ve previously talked about how the number of goals per year has been a decreasing trend, as well...
    by at March 27th, 2015 at 02:03 pm
  • NRL Season 2015 starts this weekend
    The NRL season 2015 starts this Thursday, and if last years results are anything to go by, you should sign up. 2014, saw Sportpunter completely upgrade our model and have a player based approach. This especially helped during origin times, and most definitely increased the profits across the board. H2h betting was once again as per normal the standout, making 10.9% ROI...
    by at March 3rd, 2015 at 10:03 am
  • Pinnacle Sports sold and their future
    It appears that PinnacleSports has been sold to undisclosed buyers. Whilst rumours are going around that it is a Las Vegas firm, evidence suggests a UK or Ireland company. And this makes perfect sense. It wasn’t long ago that Pinnacle had to close its doors to all UK customers, and hence would have lost a big chunk of their turnover. Perhaps it’s only a matter of time...
    by at February 24th, 2015 at 02:02 pm
  • Rugby Union’s Super 15s 2015
    Rugby Union’s Super 15s tournament is set to start this weekend, and once again Sportpunter will be providing predictions every weekend. This will be our 13th season in a row that we are released predictions for S15, and if history repeats itself we should have a very good year indeed. Despite a small season, we have made in total 9.2% ROI from 821 bets over the span...
    by at February 10th, 2015 at 12:02 pm
  • Euro Basketball analysis: totals betting
    Previously we had a look at how European Basketball had gone betting head to head, and line betting. This article we will look at totals betting with the data shown here. Overall the model has made 4.5% betting on totals. It seems to be relatively consistent on all probabilities and odds, however a minimum 10% overlay might be preferred. There are as many overs bets as...
    by at January 17th, 2015 at 08:01 am
  • Euro Basketball analysis: line betting
    We previously analysed the h2h betting for European Basketball, and in this article we will have a look at the handicap, or line betting. As shown on this link, our line betting model has made 3.5% ROI betting overall. Though looking closely, it clearly doesn’t make a profit where the probability is less than 60% to beat the line. This indicates that smaller overlays...
    by at January 12th, 2015 at 03:01 pm
  • Euro Basketball analysis: h2h
    Sportpunter’s Euro Basketball model has been in operation for free since 2011, and we thought it’s about time that we gave you some analysis of how it has gone. This is the first of a three part article on the statistical analysis of the results. This one will be about head to head betting, whilst the next will be line and then totals betting. So let’s get started....
    by at January 8th, 2015 at 03:01 pm