Archive for January, 2010

  • Betfair Multi Deal
    Betfair have a new deal on their multi’s. If you make a five way multi bet before the 25th of Jan, then if you only get 4 of the multi’s correct, then betfair will refund your stake. Put simply, its a good deal. If for example, we bet on five tennis players at 1.10 and lets assume that there is an 89% chance that each one of them will get up, this gives the...
    by at January 22nd, 2010 at 04:01 pm
  • Triple J hottest 100 2009 predictions
    It’s coming around to Australia Day once again which is one of my favourite days of the year! Why? Not because I love all things Australian – which I almost do – but because I especially love alternative music. Now I know that this is a gambling website, and I do intend on having some gambling tips in this article, but what I am really talking about is the Triple...
    by at January 15th, 2010 at 02:01 pm
  • Over/Under bias in NHL Ice Hockey
    Many people know about the favourite/longshot bias that occurs in most sports, but little is talked about the overs/unders bias. Is there in fact a bias at all? We shall investigate. Using data going back to the 2005/06 season, we have calculated the returns should one have simply bet $100 on either of the over or under in the total goals for the match. Which one will...
    by at January 14th, 2010 at 11:01 am
  • Soccer asian handicap analysis
    Since going live on the 14/09/09, the soccer asian handicap model has basically broken even on 2677 bets. Considering the large profits made on the h2h betting, this is surprising, although it must be noted that asian handicapping is somewhat harder than simply betting on the team to win on the head. This is largely due to potential scoring ability of both teams. More...
    by at January 11th, 2010 at 11:01 am
  • Soccer totals analysis
    Since going live on the 14/09/09 we have made 2482 bets on totals for a very small 0.2% ROI profit – basically break even. This therefore is a great reason to have a look at where the sportpunter totals model has gone good and where is has gone bad. The analysis of these bets is shown below: #Bets#Won%Won$Bet$Profit%ROI Over104148747% $130,107.14 $304.490% Under144168948%...
    by at January 8th, 2010 at 11:01 am
  • Soccer h2h analysis
    Since going live on the 14/9/09, sportpunter’s soccer predictions have gone very well indeed. Head to head betting has been the main avenue of success with 7.2% ROI made on 3451 bets. Totals betting has pretty much broken even in the same time frame, whilst asian handicap betting has lost marginally. So why not do some analysis into the areas with different combinations...
    by at January 7th, 2010 at 10:01 am