Sportpunter are releasing their NFL model this weekend, and results have been particularly pleasing. Despite a late start to the season for release of the NFL model, results have been good for the start of the year. Whilst only betting on totals so far this year, we have managed around 5% ROI.
But that of course is not all. We have tested betting on the handicap as well as totals going back four years to the season of 2006, and results are shown below with minimum 5% overlay betting on the handicap.
Results
Year #Bets #Won %Won $Bet $Profit %ROI
2006 210 114 54.3% $48,178.72 $4,457.36 9.3%
2007 206 106 51.5% $54,708.70 $4,799.53 8.8%
2008 203 102 50.2% $50,961.95 $1,513.49 3.0%
2009 199 103 51.8% $49,294.92 $2,182.05 4.4%
Total 818 425 52.0% $203,144.28 $12,952.43 6.4%
And below with a minimum 10% overlay
Year #Bets #Won %Won $Bet $Profit %ROI
2006 167 92 55.1% $44,850.03 $4,443.41 9.9%
2007 176 97 55.1% $52,346.36 $5,684.98 10.9%
2008 175 88 50.3% $48,802.17 $1,566.29 3.2%
2009 162 84 51.9% $46,464.66 $1,965.85 4.2%
Total 680 361 53.1% $192,463.21 $13,660.54 7.1%
Shown below are results betting on the totals with minimum 5% overlay
Year #Bets #Won %Won $Bet $Profit %ROI
2006 184 101 54.9% $40,059.53 $3,106.35 7.8%
2007 206 98 47.6% $43,976.85 -$2,522.06 -5.7%
2008 190 100 52.6% $34,943.31 $3,885.13 11.1%
2009 167 94 56.3% $28,459.79 $4,038.43 14.2%
Total 747 393 52.6% $147,439.48 $8,507.85 5.8%
And below totals with minimum 12.5% overlay
Year #Bets #Won %Won $Bet $Profit %ROI
2006 122 68 55.7% $34,390.21 $2,937.32 8.5%
2007 139 66 47.5% $38,030.31 -$2,116.35 -5.6%
2008 116 65 56.0% $27,913.09 $4,379.08 15.7%
2009 98 60 61.2% $22,144.79 $4,063.15 18.3%
Total 475 259 54.5% $122,478.40 $9,263.20 7.6%
Predictions will only be available one hour before the start of play for every day, which for some might mean a late night, but this has to be done. For one, weather conditions will need to be put into the model. Probabilities do change based on weather conditions. The amount of variables that we have in this model is very large, and we are expecting great results.
The upside, is despite all the good results, predictions will be free of charge (for now). Click here to find all the information so get started with NFL at Sportpunter.
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