On request, I decided to analyse how the soccer model has gone in the past 365 days with relation to the quality of the league. I have deicded to group the soccer leagues in terms of 5 groups, from 1 being the best most popular and more professional group, to 5 being the least popular and least professional.
Some of the leagues I will admit are in the wrong place, and there will always be debate about what leagues go in which groups, but for the meantime these will be them.
And based on the above, here is how we have done in h2h betting over the past 365 days:
What is pretty clear from the above, is that as the grade becomes worse off, the %ROI becomes greater and greater. Profits are found in all groups which is pleasing, but less so in the more professional grades, which is, where you are able to bet more as well.
This makes sense to me. Lower, less followed grades probably dont have a lot of information are not studies as much as the top grades. Furthermore, the discrepancy between the best player in the team and worst player in the team is greater for the higher leagues than the lower leagues. This means that should a teams best player be missing in the lower grades, it will not make as much difference as it would the better leagues.
But still, profits in all groups is really good to see. As far as totals betting goes, the following are the results:
Better results here, with the totals results being spread relatively even amongst all the leagues. This is great news, and it tells me that the soccer totals model is basically spot on. The great records over the past few weeks has helped greatly.
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Interesting results. I expected something like that with the H2H but didn’t expect the o/u results to be so consistent across the leagues. Unfortunately its a bit tricky to find odds on some of the lesser leagues but very nice results overall!