Category Archives: Model

Sportpunter’s NHL summary for 2010/11

Boston have won the Stanley cup with an impressive 4-0 away win over Vancouver. Our model gave them a 46.4% chance to win the decider, and at odds of 2.37, was a small but handy overlay. Unfortunately the overs bet … Continue reading

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Sportpunter’s NBL Season 2000/11 analysis

New Zealand have won the NBL championship for 2000/2011 defeating Cairns in the 3rd of 3 finals by 18 points. It was a well deserved win after finishing clear on top of the ladder at the end of the home … Continue reading

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MLB 2011 season over / under win totals predictions

The Major League Baseball season is about to start and already we have futures predictions for the number of wins that every team will have. These are available below. Our baseball model has been going great guns, last year making … Continue reading

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AFL Football is Back

AFL Football is back, and this Thursday kicks off the start of the AFL season with Carlton playing Richmond. But of course, the big news is is that Sportpunter will once again be releasing top quality sports predictions for every … Continue reading

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NRL Model Analysis

NRL betting has got off to a good start, thanks to Manly getting up at 3.77, here’s an analysis of the model: . . . . .

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Sportpunter NRL Model analysis – last year and last three years

Sportpunter’s model for NRL has been going since 2003, and since that time we have managed to make over 10% ROI betting on head to head. We’ve talked a bit about the favourite long shot bias in the sport, both … Continue reading

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NRL – Odds Biased towards outsiders

The NRL season for 2011 starts this weekend and Sportpunter will be providing the predictions once again. But first, a little pre season analysis. We previously showed that there is a massive bias in odds against the outsiders, so much … Continue reading

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ATP Injury analysis

In previous articles we have looked at how well the new upgraded ATP model has done against certain probabilties and overlays. This analysis can be found linked on the right hand side of this page: http://www.sportpunter.com/sports/tennis/ However another interesting piece … Continue reading

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More ATP analysis – Favourites by Overlays

Previously we talked about how the new upgraded ATP model did based on certain probabilities and overlays. This analysis is shown here. Today we shall show you how the ATP model goes for favourites based on overlay. Shown below are … Continue reading

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New ATP Analysis from 2005-2011

The ATP tennis season starts in only a few days with the Hopman Cup set to start on new years day. Previously I had a look at how the new model had done last year with good results. Today, I … Continue reading

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