The AFL season is set to start again this Thursday and with my personal favourite model, we will be predicting from day 1. The tigers play Carlton in the traditional first up game, and we hope (or maybe we don’t) that it will a little closer game. IT may well be the year of the…
Previously we looked at how the big outsiders have done well in NRL since 2002. Simply betting on all teams where the odds are greater then 4.00 would have netted a profit in excess of 19% ROI. But when does this occur? On home teams or away teams? Shown below is a breakdown of how…
The NRL season is about to start this Friday. It’s looking to be a great season with Parramatta slight bookie favourites over last years premiership team Melbourne Storm. Sportpunter’s NRL model has done exceptionally well over the years, making over 10% ROI since 2002 on 900 bets. The next few days we will be giving…
With Davis Cup coming this weekend, I thought it was a good opportunity to find out how well the model goes. Many people would say that the Davis cup is a completely different game compared to normal tournaments, and if you have been to several countries which host it, I’m pretty sure that you will…
We previously looked a college basketball totals betting as well as focusing on unders betting. Today we will look at how well we have done suggesting bets on the overs. The data below show our betting history for overs betting. Similar properties exist to that of the analysis of unders betting. Almost 1/3rd of the…
We previously looked at College basketball totals betting and where and when it is profitable. Overall a 5.5% ROI was made, but interestingly some of the larger overlays failed to return a profit. Is this the case for over and unders betting? We will do the analysis and for unders it is shown below. Over…
The last article I wrote about soccer was about betting the totals, more specifically the unders. We grouped the leagues into different divisions based on popularity and decided what the minimum overlay would be to bet on the unders for certain groups. In this article we will do the same thing but look at the…
In a previous article we looked at how the soccer model goes betting totals for different groups based on popularity. Results showed that less popular leagues were in fact more profitable than popular leagues. The results was not as extreme as head to head betting, as still good profits were made in all divisions. Considering…
A lot of talk in the forum has been with regards to college basketball and the fact that the higher overlays this year have been losses, as opposed to last year when the higher overlays generally performed very well. Is this just random variation or perhaps the model struggles at higher overlays due to injured…
We previously looked at betting h2h in soccer and its returns based on league popularity. This time we will look at totals betting using the same five groups of leagues that we used previously. Results pre group are shown below: For starters once again we have good profit in all the different groups which is…
