Soccer analysis – best and worst leagues

There has been a lot of discussion going on in our forum at the moment about the Sportpunter soccer model and the incredible profits that have been achieved. There is also talk about the high number of bets on a Saturday as we cover almost every single league in the world, with some of these leagues it is difficult to get adequate bet sizes on.

So what happens if we don’t bet on some of the minor leagues? Well let’s see what the best performing and worst performing leagues are since we went live with soccer betting on 14/09/09. These are based only on head to head or 1×2 betting.

Here are the top 10 leagues:

League	#Bets	#Wins	%Wins	$Bet	$Profit	%ROI
scotland3	27	12	44%	$ 3,586.86	$1,801.84	50%
sweden2	51	21	41%	$ 6,284.00	$1,726.66	27%
italy2	52	18	35%	$ 5,624.93	$1,714.61	30%
japan1	31	11	35%	$ 2,848.35	$1,697.30	60%
turkey1	25	10	40%	$ 1,933.06	$1,642.92	85%
england2	67	18	27%	$ 4,437.02	$1,452.28	33%
denmark1	20	12	60%	$ 2,243.20	$1,249.96	56%
austria2	25	10	40%	$ 3,941.79	$1,090.00	28%
estonia1	12	9	75%	$ 3,644.44	$1,057.31	29%
poland2	28	11	39%	$ 2,438.69	$ 942.16	39%

And here are the bottom 10 leagues:

League	#Bets	#Wins	%Wins	$Bet	$Profit	%ROI
ukraine1	21	2	10%	$ 1,099.85	-$ 736.05	-67%
belgium1	33	10	30%	$ 2,980.64	-$ 763.54	-26%
chile1	31	9	29%	$ 3,877.72	-$ 777.18	-20%
belgium2	30	7	23%	$ 3,225.45	-$ 795.04	-25%
scotland2	20	3	15%	$ 2,258.78	-$ 954.04	-42%
france2	42	12	29%	$ 3,517.98	-$ 981.80	-28%
norway2	35	8	23%	$ 3,044.86	-$1,028.83	-34%
czechia1	23	6	26%	$ 2,811.63	-$1,395.78	-50%
england5	66	16	24%	$ 4,712.60	-$1,626.49	-35%
romania1	32	4	13%	$ 3,171.01	-$2,240.14	-71

Interestingly a lot of the leagues in the top 10 are middle quality leagues. All of them are lower European leagues along with Japan. None of the big leagues are there, although I note that English Premier League has come in 12th position with 34 bets at 30% ROI.

The bottom ten have a few strange leagues. Firstly, Romania is dead last on the list, with only 4 wins from 32 bets. Something might be playing up there. Ukraine is also on the list, long with the English Conference National.

Here is the list of all the questionable leagues:

League	#Bets	#Wins	%Wins	$Bet	$Profit	%ROI
estonia1	12	9	75%	$ 3,644.44	$1,057.31	29%
ecuador1	7	3	43%	$ 2,583.85	$ 869.71	34%
slovenia1	15	6	40%	$ 1,451.88	$ 442.97	31%
latvia1	4	3	75%	$ 844.06	$ 278.88	33%
peru1	6	3	50%	$ 364.74	$ 232.17	64%
uruguay1	10	4	40%	$ 962.94	$ 230.02	24%
hungary1	23	9	39%	$ 2,581.73	$ 226.96	9%
slovakia1	7	3	43%	$ 872.99	$ 179.95	21%
iceland1	7	2	29%	$ 1,160.19	$ 59.24	5%
lithuania1	5	1	20%	$ 378.00	-$ 87.06	-23%
singapore1	11	5	45%	$ 1,077.77	-$ 170.24	-16%
romania1	32	4	13%	$ 3,171.01	-$2,240.14	-71%

So apart from Romania, there seems to be some very good results in the minor eastern European (and Singapore) leagues.

Could Sportpunters analysis of found a corrupt league? I will take a closer look at Romania, to try and pinpoint any problems. Overall, the minor leagues seem to be doing quite well.

View all the soccer betting histories here

The soccer model will also become a paid service in the new year so start following our picks now to make enough profit to pay for it next year.