Archive for the ‘Model’

  • NBL 2014/15 analysis
    The NBL, or Australian Basketball starts this Friday, and hopefully we will achieve the same success as we have in the past. As our betting history shows, we have made 4.1% ROI betting h2h from 779 bets in 8 years. But better than h2h betting, is the line betting which has made 15.3% ROI in the 3 years that we have been recording it. Making profits of 18.1%, 12.8% and...
    by at October 9th, 2014 at 09:10 am
  • AFL 2014 season summary
    The AFL season has finished for 2014 and the mighty hawks have once again reigned supreme. At the start of the year, we had them as massive favourites to win and the big overlay came home. But line betting was our major market this year, and it produced a significant profit like previous years. Over the course of the year we had 146 bets on the line for 88 wins. That resulted...
    by at September 29th, 2014 at 11:09 am
  • 2014 NFL Season
    The 2014 NFL season starts tonight, and Sportpunter are releasing our models picks once again. To become a subscriber, click the link here: http://www.sportpunter.com/sports/nfl/ But first, we will do an analysis of the last 4 years of betting. Firstly, totals betting. As shown on the betting history on the page listed above, we have managed to make 5.9% ROI from totals...
    by at September 4th, 2014 at 12:09 pm
  • Super15s 2014 Season Summary
    Well the Rugby Union Super15s season has finished and what another great season it was for Sportpunter clients. The free tips were given out every Thursday for the upcoming weekend, and punters well left very happy with the results. In total we made 77 bets for a massive 28% ROI. It was our biggest year since the first year that we ran the model in 2003 and since then...
    by at August 5th, 2014 at 08:08 am
  • Sportpunter’s new WTA Model – h2h
    Sportpunter have done a major major upgrade to their WTA and ATP models. So major in fact that we started from scratch and rebuild the model from the ground up. Predictions are now available on the website for clients as shown here H2h bets Line bets Set bets Totals bets Bet Challengers But we will go through some of the analysis of the results using a hold out sample...
    by at June 5th, 2014 at 02:06 pm
  • Our rugby models massive wins
    Both Sportputner’s Rugby Union and Rugby League model’s have cleaned up at the start of this season with amazing massive wins. Firstly the Rugby Unions S15s model has started the year in amazing good form. With massive wins including the Lions in round 1 @ 5.04, and again in Round 2 @ 4.18. Last Saturday was especially good with three winners in a row, including the...
    by at March 25th, 2014 at 01:03 pm
  • AFL profits round by round
    The AFL season is set to start this weekend, and what a year we hope it to be. If the previous years are anything to go by then it should be another cracker. The betting history speaks for itself. The last 5 years has seen an 18.5% ROI with last year and 2012 both recording over 22% ROI. Incredible stuff! The new player based model has been doing just as well too in its...
    by at March 12th, 2014 at 10:03 am
  • Sportpunter: AFL Subscriptions are open
    The most anticipated season for Sportpunter punters is now open for subscription. With the preseason competition set to start this Wednesday night, you can get all the player based predictions from our website. Whilst the predictions for preseason will not officially be put into our betting history, there could be some scope, especially with the new player based model,...
    by at February 11th, 2014 at 04:02 pm
  • Ice Hockey: Nasty Russians no more
    We wrote previously about how the Russian and Finish hockey totals results were not too flash. And the reason was simple, the database did not have enough data to come up with accurate results, and hence every expected value of goals it predicted for every match was the same. This made the ice hockey model look terribly bad. Russia itself had lost 16% ROI from 403 bets...
    by at January 29th, 2014 at 12:01 pm
  • ATP Profits by month
    The ATP tennis season is about to start once again, and we thought we’d analyse how well the model has gone by month. There have been suggestions that the model has done better earlier in the tennis season and faded away a little bit at the end due to motivational issues. Is this the case? Well we thought we’d analyse it. Shown below is a table of all results going...
    by at December 27th, 2013 at 07:12 am