Archive for the ‘Model’

  • Sportpunter NFL is here!
    If you're new here, you may want to subscribe to our RSS feed. or you may want to sign up to our Email list. and win great prizes. Thanks for visiting!Sportpunter are releasing their NFL model this weekend, and results have been particularly pleasing. Despite a late start to the season for release of the NFL model, results have been good for the start of the year. Whilst...
    by at October 15th, 2010 at 01:10 pm
  • Australian Basketball – NBL – Season set to start
    The Australian basketball season for 2010/2011  is set to start, and what better way to get on board the winning bandwagon. It doesn’t really matter if you follow the NBL season that close, it’s very rare that someone does, because the betting history speaks for itself. Take a look at the betting history. In the four years that we have been giving NBL predictions,...
    by at October 13th, 2010 at 01:10 pm
  • WTA Model analysis – Injuries
    Previously I showed about how the updated WTA model goes with all sorts of different probabilities, odds and overlays; all with very good results. Now I will look at all the NOBET scenarios and how the WTA model goes betting for or against a player with injuries and the like. For want of reminder, the NOBET’s are as follows: NOBET1 – Player has recorded 2 retirements...
    by at October 8th, 2010 at 10:10 am
  • Upgraded WTA Model
    Sportpunter have released their upgraded WTA tennis model with good results dating back to the start of 2009. Whilst the old model hasn’t had the greatest of runs, especially since mid last year, the new model has shown significant improvements. What’s more, we’ve also eliminated the “Federer factor”. That’s right, the “Federer factor” (shortly to be renamed...
    by at October 1st, 2010 at 03:10 pm
  • Five set bias in tennis
    With Wimbledon just about to start, it is interesting that not many people know or understand the dynamics between a 5 set and 3 set match. Only 4 times a year, not including a couple of one-off finals matches are 5 set matches held for men, and the difference between betting favourites and underdogs on 5 set matches is vastly different to the best of 3 set format. Truth...
    by at June 21st, 2010 at 03:06 pm
  • AFL line betting
    Previously we looked at how the Sportpunter AFL model had gone betting head to head. In this article we will look a little more in depth about how it goes betting on the line or with a handicap. Traditionally, unlike Americans, Australians had always bet on any sport on the head. It makes perfect sense too; punters want to bet on whom they think is going to win as opposed...
    by at March 23rd, 2010 at 12:03 pm
  • Sportpunter’s AFL Model Analysis
    The AFL season is set to start again this Thursday and with my personal favourite model, we will be predicting from day 1. The tigers play Carlton in the traditional first up game, and we hope (or maybe we don’t) that it will a little closer game. IT may well be the year of the tiger, but any resemblance to Richmond is surely coincidental. Many people have put their...
    by at March 22nd, 2010 at 01:03 pm
  • Sportpunter’s NRL Model Analysis
    Previously we looked at how the big outsiders have done well in NRL since 2002. Simply betting on all teams where the odds are greater then 4.00 would have netted a profit in excess of 19% ROI. But when does this occur? On home teams or away teams? Shown below is a breakdown of how home and away teams have gone for underdogs (Odds greater or equal to 2) and for odds greater...
    by at March 10th, 2010 at 02:03 pm
  • Backing the underdogs in the NRL
    The NRL season is about to start this Friday. It’s looking to be a great season with Parramatta slight bookie favourites over last years premiership team Melbourne Storm. Sportpunter’s NRL model has done exceptionally well over the years, making over 10% ROI since 2002 on 900 bets. The next few days we will be giving you all the analysis about the NRL model with the...
    by at March 9th, 2010 at 12:03 pm
  • Davis cup bias in home/away players
    With Davis Cup coming this weekend, I thought it was a good opportunity to find out how well the model goes. Many people would say that the Davis cup is a completely different game compared to normal tournaments, and if you have been to several countries which host it, I’m pretty sure that you will agree. Although this is the federation cup – which is the female equivalent...
    by at March 5th, 2010 at 11:03 am