Archive for the ‘Sport Models’

  • 1
    College Basketball Totals Analysis
    A lot of talk in the forum has been with regards to college basketball and the fact that the higher overlays this year have been losses, as opposed to last year when the higher overlays generally performed very well. Is this just random variation or perhaps the model struggles at higher overlays due to injured players and the like? Well we thought we’d find out. Shown...
    by sportpunter at February 17th, 2010 at 12:02 pm
  • 6
    Soccer minimum totals overlays based on League Level
    We previously looked at betting h2h in soccer and its returns based on league popularity. This time we will look at totals betting using the same five groups of leagues that we used previously. Results pre group are shown below: Group1Overlay#Bets#Won%Won$Bet$Profit%ROI 00.07542720047% $27,700.42 -$291.36-1% 0.0750.134016348% $30,566.84 $15.200% 0.10.12527712445%...
    by sportpunter at February 15th, 2010 at 02:02 pm
  • 0
    Super 14s free predictions and analysis
    Super 14s predictions have been happening on Sportpunter since 2003. We started off amazingly well, winning profits in the first three years and four of the first five years. In 2004 we recorded an amazing 50% return on investment which is stupidly huge. The last couple of years have seen small losses and because of this it is important to analyse why this is so. Of course,...
    by sportpunter at February 12th, 2010 at 01:02 pm
  • 0
    Soccer minimum overlays based on League Level
    Previously we talked about not quite getting as good 1×2 profits betting on the more popular and more professional leagues. We did manage to win evenly across the board betting totals which is a great result. However more analysis is obviously required in the head to head betting. So based on the groups given previously, I decided to have a look at the results for...
    by sportpunter at February 11th, 2010 at 10:02 am
  • 1
    Soccer model performance in relation to league level
    On request, I decided to analyse how the soccer model has gone in the past 365 days with relation to the quality of the league. I have deicded to group the soccer leagues in terms of 5 groups, from 1 being the best most popular and more professional group, to 5 being the least popular and least professional. Some of the leagues I will admit are in the wrong place, and...
    by sportpunter at February 8th, 2010 at 03:02 pm
  • 0
    New Soccer leagues predictions set to start
    There’s plenty of new soccer leagues set to start within the next month. The following are some of the leagues that will shortly get underway: Chile Primera Division Ecuador Primera A Estonia Meistriliiga Finland Veikkausliiga Japan J-League Norway Eliteserien Norway 1. Divisjon Peru Primera Division Russia Premier League Singapore S-League Sweden Allsvenskan Sweden...
    by sportpunter at February 4th, 2010 at 02:02 pm
  • 0
    Soccer asian handicap analysis
    Since going live on the 14/09/09, the soccer asian handicap model has basically broken even on 2677 bets. Considering the large profits made on the h2h betting, this is surprising, although it must be noted that asian handicapping is somewhat harder than simply betting on the team to win on the head. This is largely due to potential scoring ability of both teams. More...
    by sportpunter at January 11th, 2010 at 11:01 am
  • 3
    Soccer totals analysis
    Since going live on the 14/09/09 we have made 2482 bets on totals for a very small 0.2% ROI profit – basically break even. This therefore is a great reason to have a look at where the sportpunter totals model has gone good and where is has gone bad. The analysis of these bets is shown below: #Bets#Won%Won$Bet$Profit%ROI Over104148747% $130,107.14 $304.490% Under144168948%...
    by sportpunter at January 8th, 2010 at 11:01 am
  • 2
    Soccer h2h analysis
    Since going live on the 14/9/09, sportpunter’s soccer predictions have gone very well indeed. Head to head betting has been the main avenue of success with 7.2% ROI made on 3451 bets. Totals betting has pretty much broken even in the same time frame, whilst asian handicap betting has lost marginally. So why not do some analysis into the areas with different combinations...
    by sportpunter at January 7th, 2010 at 10:01 am
  • 0
    Tennis Analysis 2009 – Part 7
    Shown below is the tables for the favourites for WTA tennis over the last five years and following of which is a brief description. Overlay Prob 50-60% Overlay #Bets #Wins %Wins $Bet $Profit %ROI 0 0.05 187 103 55.1% $ 5,483.09 -$ 10.66 -0.2% 0.05 0.1 162 80 49.4% $ 12,680.28 -$ 707.00 -5.6% 0.1 0.15 133 58 43.6% $ 15,630.88 -$ 1,676.76 -10.7% 0.15 0.2 112 56 50.0% ...
    by sportpunter at December 26th, 2009 at 10:12 am
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