Archive for the ‘Gambling Blog’

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    Melbourne Cup Probabilities
    If you're new here, you may want to subscribe to our RSS feed. or you may want to sign up to our Email list. and win great prizes. Thanks for visiting!Well the Melbourne Cup is soon on us. Come Tuesday at 3pm they will all be in full gallop. So, I thought I had to whip up something for the special event. Whilst my horse racing model might soon be on the cards here at Sportpunter,...
    by at November 2nd, 2009 at 12:11 pm
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    Match fixing in soccer? Surely not!
    It was the final week of the season, and top spot of the Brazilian state League Championship were all but sown up….but not until this happened: Needing to win 11-0 to clinch promotion from the Second Division, Viana found themselves leading Chapadinha by just 2-0 with 81 minutes played. A bit of fatigue might have been setting in, of course, but surely not enough to...
    by at November 2nd, 2009 at 08:11 am
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    Models…..What are they and what are they good for? – Part 2
    In the last article about sports models I talked about how as human beings we can often find patterns in randomness. I want to talk a little more about this in the real world. One of my friends recently had a baby which they named “Jordan”. Its cool to give surnames as first names at the moment, and even better it gives me an excuse to post a picture of the great man...
    by at October 26th, 2009 at 02:10 pm
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    The art of sports prediction
    Sportpunter may well be a market leader when it comes to sport prediction, but we’ve recently come across some tough opposition, especially in the baseball field. It has come to our attention that Mike Blowers who is an ex baseball player and now radio commentator may have the edge on us. We have been attempting to contact Mike, in an attempt to poach him onto our...
    by at October 16th, 2009 at 09:10 am
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    Models…..What are they and what are they good for? – Part 1
    Models…..What are they and what are they good for? No I’m not talking about the model that you see in the picture, that’s just merely an opportunity to include her. No, I’m talking about statistical models. What are they? Well according to Wikipedia, a statistical model is “a set of mathematical equations which describe the behaviour of an object of study in...
    by at October 2nd, 2009 at 04:10 pm
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    Soccer season probs for premiership
    Along with out normal Soccer model, we also predict odds for the premiership as well as finishing dead last. Here are the probabilities and associated bets for the premiership after lasts round for several of the leagues Australian A Leauge Team P(Prem) Odds Overlay Gold Coast United 18.5% 4 - Brisbane Roar 16.4% 9 47.5% Melbourne Victory 16.4% 5.3 - Central...
    by at September 28th, 2009 at 06:09 am
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    AFL Qtr x Qtr
    I hate to bang on about this in the third post, but its worth mentioning I believe. Previously I posted how I believe the grand final could well be a low scoring match as well as commenting about how there might be some value in first score being a behind so maybe I’ll back that last comment with a bit more information. Since 2003 more goals have been kicked than...
    by at September 24th, 2009 at 07:09 pm
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    AFL Grand Final
    What a ripper grand final it will be. That is, apart from the thunderstorms and possible hail that is meant to disrupt it. I posted previously how, given this case, the unders might be the better bet, and indeed centrebet’s line has decreased from 170.5 down to 165.5. Maybe some of you took the advice and plundered on. However in a low scoring windy wet game there might...
    by at September 23rd, 2009 at 08:09 pm
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    Tennis Players using twitter
    Many of us would love to know how the players we are betting on are feeling on a daily basis. To get this sort of information we would need to search for news stories of injuries that were usually at best a few days old. With the advent of social media sites such as Myspace, Facebook, and now Twitter, we no longer need to rely on these other sources of information. Why...
    by at September 22nd, 2009 at 06:09 pm
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    AFL Grand Final Unders
    Centrebet are the first to give out over/under odds and I like the look of the unders here. 1.90 available for under 170.5 points. Now that might sound like a small total, but both clubs have by far the best two defences in the competition. When they played in round 14, only 176 points were scored, and yet that was played in the nice indoor conditions of the docklands. But...
    by at September 21st, 2009 at 07:09 pm
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