There has been a bit of talk about how on average the number of goals increases and decreases over the course of a season because of the ice conditions. We’ve had a look at all the data going back to 1989 and the results are interesting. It is well documented that the number of goals…
The start of the new NCAAB (American College Basketball) season has seen some high scoring matches. Since the year 2000, scores have gradually been decreasing from a high of 142 on average to last years low of 133. However, this season already has seen a massive jump up to 147 points per game. This can…
With the Australian Basketball NBL Season 2013/14 set to start on Thursday, we thought we’d take a look at the new rules that should allow higher scoring matches to occur. The NBL has always been under the pump with regards to low scoring matches ever since they reduced the length of each quarter. But now,…
We previously talked about the difference between the original model and the player based model as discussed before. But today, we will outline the 4 games with the biggest difference in probabilities and why. So here they are. 4. Western Bulldogs vs. Sydney. Round 21,2012. At a finishing line of +49.5, our old model rated…
It’s well documented and observed that on average male tennis players serve faster than females. This is common sense considering that males are much more stronger than females. But how much difference is there really and can the strongest female out serve the weakest male? Shown below is a graph showing the distribution of female…
Sportpunter is celebrating its 10th year in business. That’s 10 years of giving out predictions from its website. From the humble start of giving tennis predictions and cricket matchups from the Swinburne University website till now, it’s been a great experience. Many of our followers have followed us from the very beginning and continue to…
When Philipp Kohlschreiber defeated the French Open Champion Rafael Nadal at the Gerry Webber Open at big odds of almost 7.00, it was one of the biggest upsets over the past month. Nadal, was clearly tired after winning the French Open but the punters still backed him to win. Of course, it was a massive…
The opening match between Greater Western Sydney Giants and the Sydney Swans looks to be a very interesting betting game indeed. No one is really sure how to rate the Giants, except for the fact that the Swans will make them look like midgets. But interestingly, the amount that the books believe that the swans…
Recently one of my potential clients pointed out a website that claims to debunk the Kelly criterion. For those that don’t know the Kelly criterion is a money management strategy that works out how much you should bet on a sports outcome based on the probability of the team winning, the odds that the team…
Betfair have a new multi betting option available here: http://ausmultis.betfair.com/ But there are some opportunities involved for the NAB Cup. Very rarely do sports teams play two matches on the one day, and one can assume that there should be some form of dependence on the two events. In other words, if a particular team…
