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Downloads
There are a few files given below for you
to download. These files will help you find overlays and keep
track of your bets over time. It is strongly recommended that
you use one of these files. Right click and then choose "save
as" and the download it to your hard drive.
Sports Simulation Program
The first file is a very good simulation program
that allows you to simulate your bank based on your strike
rate, the odds you bet, and how many bets. You can change
the percentage of your initial bank or current bank to bet.
The analysis is carried out in 10,000 simulations
which will determine the probability of making a profit, going
bankrupt, as well as calculating winning and losing streaks.
It is a very useful tool for determining how to manage your
money when gambling:
Sportpunter's
Sports Simulation Program
Tennis Simulator
The tennis simulator takes all the previous
betting data over the last two years from Sportpunter and
randomly allocates this for a years betting, hence simulating
the next years tennis betting. You can enter your initial
bank balance, your Kelly factorial, whether you wish to use
a moving bank (changed at the end of each week) or not, as
well as some other options.
After the simulation, you will receive based
on your inputs your average and median expected profit, the
probability of profit and bankruptcy as well as other information
like the spread of your final bank balance at the end of the
simulated year. If you are unsure about whether to sign up
to Sportpunter's Tennis Model then download this program,
have a go, and then see if it's worth while for you. There
is a very good chance that it is!
The program given below is zipped, so you
will have to unzip it to get it to work in Excel.
Sportpunter's
Tennis Simulation Program
AFL Simulator
The AFL Simulator looks at our
past history over the 6 years of betting, and then simulates
how you could go betting this year using Sportpunter's AFL
Model. Here one can enter their bank size, what Kelly fraction
they wish to use, whether they wish to bet on a constant Kelly
or moving bank method and whether they wish to bet on teams
that travel interstate or not. The program will then simulate
the up and coming season and will produce very useful information
like the average amount that you expect to bet over the season,
the average and median profit one would expect as well as
the probability of going bankrupt and making a profit.
Also shown is the probability
of having your bank finish at different amounts. For example
one can work out the probability of their bank doubling in
size, tippling or even quadrupling in the year.
You can download the program
for free as shown below (program requires Microsoft Excel
2000 or later):
Sportpunter's
AFL Simulation Program (624k)
Calculating Odds Programs
If you are familiar with European odds (e.g..
$1.72, $3.50) then download this file:
European
Odds Excel File
If you are familiar with American odds (e.g..–200,
+350) then download this file:
American
Odds Excel File
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