Comments on: Tennis Analysis 2009 – Part 3

By: Bovina

Bovina — Mon, 21 Dec 2009 22:23:14 +0000

Thanks Jon. Looking forward to it.

By: sportpunter

sportpunter — Mon, 21 Dec 2009 22:22:06 +0000

I’m sure it could Bovina. I shall post them after the WTA today, so tomorrow.

By: Bovina

Bovina — Mon, 21 Dec 2009 22:15:37 +0000

I see your point. How about a break down of the higher probs like 50-60% 60-70% and so on? Couldn’t that be interesting?

By: sportpunter

sportpunter — Mon, 21 Dec 2009 21:03:57 +0000

WTA analysis is coming today. As for the 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% margins, these are based on all bets. This is to see what the minimum overlay should be within these areas. SP rules already has designated min overlays, so that is what the analysis is trying to do, to determine what these should be in these areas.

By: Bovina

Bovina — Mon, 21 Dec 2009 17:49:32 +0000

Very useful analysis and I hopw you do the same for WTA. But it looks like when you do those in-depth 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% prob analysis you are using the overall numbers without SP rules. Cant you do them with SP rules instead? A lot of the bad bets on dogs are sorted out by the SP rules so I would like to see in depth low prob analysis with SP rules.

By: Hareeba

Hareeba — Mon, 21 Dec 2009 13:09:44 +0000

Excellent stuff thanks Jon
On the basis of those stats I think maybe I’ve been limiting my profits a bit by asking for too high an overlay
I like the look of what you are suggesting
Let’s hope 2010 delivers what we have come to expect from psst years
I’ll be interested to see if the WTA analysis demonstrates similar characteristics